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Red116
352613.3
463553.1
440043.4
Blue68
440331.9
552629.5
620019.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12282406010014016018011668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.0
53.053.1
Auto15.1
Teleop30.8
End7.2
red by 21.2
4403
#20
31.90.4
32.331.9
Auto5.4
Teleop21.2
End5.3
Second
43.40.0
43.343.4
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End8.9
red by 13.9
29.50.4
29.929.5
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End9.0
Third
3526
#32
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End4.0
blue by 6.1
6200
#40
19.40.5
19.919.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End7.1