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Red77
440331.9
552629.5
620019.4
Blue39
772519.1
595924.7
570518.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87662040801001201407739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4403
#20
31.90.0
31.431.3
Auto5.4
Teleop21.2
End5.3
red by 7.3
24.70.7
25.324.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End5.3
Second
29.50.0
28.928.9
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End9.0
red by 10.4
7725
#11
19.10.7
19.819.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.2
End4.3
Third
6200
#40
19.40.1
18.818.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End7.1
red by 0.9
5705
#21
18.60.7
19.218.6
Auto2.5
Teleop9.8
End6.3