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Red83
531213.9
757731.0
477528.4
Blue76
913426.9
440122.7
874820.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777440506070901001101208376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.2
30.430.5
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End8.0
red by 4.1
9134
#18
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto9.1
Teleop11.5
End6.4
Second
4775
#14
28.40.1
27.928.0
Auto6.7
Teleop15.4
End6.3
red by 5.7
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto2.6
Teleop12.4
End7.7
Third
5312
#35
13.90.1
13.413.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End3.8
blue by 6.4
8748
#12
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.7
End7.7