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Red89
440331.9
552629.5
620019.4
Blue104
742139.4
911828.0
930119.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8390406010012014089104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4403
#20
31.90.2
31.131.4
Auto5.4
Teleop21.2
End5.3
blue by 7.5
39.40.5
38.238.7
Auto6.6
Teleop26.0
End6.9
Second
29.50.2
28.728.9
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End9.0
red by 1.5
28.00.5
26.827.2
Auto8.2
Teleop10.5
End9.3
Third
6200
#40
19.40.3
18.618.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End7.1
blue by 0.5
9301
#23
19.90.5
18.519.0
Auto7.5
Teleop6.6
End5.8