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Red127
352613.3
463553.1
440043.4
Blue39
352220.1
473514.2
829121.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12451010015020012739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.4
52.152.6
Auto15.1
Teleop30.8
End7.2
red by 32.1
8291
#19
21.00.4
21.521.1
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End6.3
Second
43.40.4
42.442.8
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End8.9
red by 23.2
3522
#15
20.10.4
20.620.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.3
End6.6
Third
3526
#32
13.30.4
12.412.8
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End4.0
blue by 0.8
4735
#10
14.20.4
14.614.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End4.7