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Red107
531213.9
757731.0
477528.4
Blue54
595924.7
570518.6
772519.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7669020406010012014010754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.7
29.930.6
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End8.0
red by 6.3
24.70.3
25.625.4
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End5.3
Second
4775
#14
28.40.6
27.528.1
Auto6.7
Teleop15.4
End6.3
red by 9.3
7725
#11
19.10.3
20.119.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.2
End4.3
Third
5312
#35
13.90.6
13.013.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End3.8
blue by 4.7
5705
#21
18.60.3
19.619.3
Auto2.5
Teleop9.8
End6.3