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Red102
440331.9
552629.5
620019.4
Blue76
913426.9
440122.7
874820.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837420406010012014016010276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4403
#20
31.90.4
30.731.1
Auto5.4
Teleop21.2
End5.3
red by 5.0
9134
#18
26.90.1
27.127.2
Auto9.1
Teleop11.5
End6.4
Second
29.50.4
28.328.7
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End9.0
red by 6.7
22.70.1
23.023.1
Auto2.6
Teleop12.4
End7.7
Third
6200
#40
19.40.5
18.118.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End7.1
blue by 0.9
8748
#12
20.30.1
20.620.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.7
End7.7