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Red73
264226.7
429028.5
693210.1
Blue95
883310.8
58731.8
572727.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69744060801007395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.8
24.625.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.2
End7.4
blue by 3.2
587
#5
31.82.3
25.527.8
Auto8.5
Teleop16.2
End7.1
Second
2642
#14
26.70.8
24.525.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.3
End8.0
blue by 1.1
5727
#13
27.92.3
28.831.1
Auto9.2
Teleop13.9
End4.7
Third
6932
#20
10.10.8
16.517.4
Auto2.6
Teleop4.2
End3.3
blue by 0.6
8833
#24
10.82.3
14.817.1
Auto2.0
Teleop5.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed62%Activation oddsEarned