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Red82
842925.8
900019.8
12256.6
Blue49
688823.3
567916.2
809012.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4158020801008249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8429
#10
25.84.0
18.422.5
Auto8.9
Teleop10.2
End6.6
red by 2.5
6888
#16
23.30.9
22.421.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End7.6
Second
9000
#12
19.84.0
13.117.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End8.1
red by 3.6
5679
#18
16.20.9
20.019.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.2
End6.0
Third
1225
#27
6.64.0
9.013.1
Auto0.5
Teleop1.1
End5.1
blue by 5.4
8090
#22
12.10.9
9.68.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned