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Red45
90031.8
900511.3
551119.6
Blue82
650218.4
915019.0
350637.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6064203040507080904582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#8
31.83.7
26.923.2
Auto10.6
Teleop13.5
End7.7
blue by 5.4
37.21.9
25.327.2
Auto12.0
Teleop16.5
End8.7
Second
5511
#17
19.63.7
20.817.1
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End5.3
red by 0.6
9150
#15
19.01.9
13.515.4
Auto6.4
Teleop4.5
End8.1
Third
9005
#23
11.33.7
9.05.2
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End3.7
blue by 7.1
6502
#21
18.41.9
20.922.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsEarned