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Red107
672914.3
572727.9
456131.9
Blue107
900511.3
789039.0
350637.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75950204060120140160107107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.9
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End7.9
blue by 7.2
39.0
Auto12.6
Teleop18.6
End7.8
Second
5727
#13
27.9
Auto9.2
Teleop13.9
End4.7
blue by 9.3
37.2
Auto12.0
Teleop16.5
End8.7
Third
6729
#19
14.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End4.1
red by 3.1
9005
#23
11.3
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End3.7