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Red105
672914.3
572727.9
456131.9
Blue104
900511.3
789039.0
350637.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7595204060120140160105104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.6
31.432.0
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End7.9
blue by 7.2
39.00.4
38.639.0
Auto12.6
Teleop18.6
End7.8
Second
5727
#13
27.90.6
27.428.0
Auto9.2
Teleop13.9
End4.7
blue by 9.3
37.20.4
36.837.2
Auto12.0
Teleop16.5
End8.7
Third
6729
#19
14.30.7
13.914.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End4.1
red by 3.1
9005
#23
11.30.4
10.911.3
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End3.7