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Red132
883310.8
479542.7
58731.8
Blue67
915019.0
264226.7
153323.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877240608010012014013267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.9
40.741.6
Auto14.7
Teleop19.4
End8.7
red by 16.0
2642
#14
26.70.3
26.926.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.3
End8.0
Second
587
#5
31.80.8
30.030.8
Auto8.5
Teleop16.2
End7.1
red by 8.3
1533
#28
23.40.3
23.623.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.3
End8.8
Third
8833
#24
10.80.8
8.99.7
Auto2.0
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 8.2
9150
#15
19.00.3
19.218.9
Auto6.4
Teleop4.5
End8.1