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Red84
429028.5
493523.2
693210.1
Blue69
900019.8
872714.3
600421.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685702040801001201408469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.4
28.729.1
Auto8.9
Teleop12.2
End7.4
red by 6.7
21.80.3
21.521.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End7.5
Second
23.20.4
23.423.8
Auto6.6
Teleop10.1
End6.5
red by 3.4
9000
#12
19.80.3
19.519.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End8.1
Third
6932
#20
10.10.4
10.310.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.2
End3.3
blue by 4.1
8727
#25
14.30.3
14.014.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End4.1