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Red98
66398.4
572727.9
456131.9
Blue63
319617.6
650218.4
688823.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66654050607080909863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.8
29.630.4
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End7.9
red by 8.5
6888
#16
23.30.0
24.024.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End7.6
Second
5727
#13
27.90.8
25.626.4
Auto9.2
Teleop13.9
End4.7
red by 9.5
6502
#21
18.40.0
18.919.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.5
End4.7
Third
6639
#29
8.40.8
6.57.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End2.0
blue by 9.2
3196
#11
17.60.0
18.218.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End4.3