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Red103
350637.2
789039.0
900511.3
Blue103
842925.8
90031.8
551119.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92774060100120140160103103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.4
38.138.5
Auto12.6
Teleop18.6
End7.8
red by 7.2
900
#8
31.80.6
30.831.5
Auto10.6
Teleop13.5
End7.7
Second
37.20.4
36.336.7
Auto12.0
Teleop16.5
End8.7
red by 11.4
8429
#10
25.80.6
24.825.5
Auto8.9
Teleop10.2
End6.6
Third
9005
#23
11.30.4
10.410.8
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End3.7
blue by 8.3
5511
#17
19.60.7
18.519.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End5.3