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Red157
58749.2
789061.6
322926.7
Blue130
600430.0
350647.7
479552.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140140130135145150155157130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.6
61.061.6
Auto17.1
Teleop34.2
End9.3
red by 9.2
52.40.4
52.852.4
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End7.8
Second
587
#19
49.20.6
48.749.2
Auto13.9
Teleop29.2
End5.7
red by 1.6
47.70.4
48.047.7
Auto14.4
Teleop26.5
End6.6
Third
3229
#21
26.70.6
26.226.7
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End4.5
blue by 3.3
6004
#28
30.00.4
30.430.0
Auto9.9
Teleop11.5
End8.6