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Red125
58749.2
789061.6
322926.7
Blue110
600430.0
350647.7
479552.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142141110120130150160170180125110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.2
61.261.0
Auto17.1
Teleop34.2
End9.3
red by 9.2
52.40.6
53.452.8
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End7.8
Second
587
#19
49.20.2
48.848.7
Auto13.9
Teleop29.2
End5.7
red by 1.6
47.70.6
48.748.0
Auto14.4
Teleop26.5
End6.6
Third
3229
#21
26.70.2
26.326.2
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End4.5
blue by 3.3
6004
#28
30.00.6
31.030.4
Auto9.9
Teleop11.5
End8.6