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Red172
479552.4
350647.7
600430.0
Blue96
493531.4
264250.9
153343.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14113510015020017296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.40.4
53.053.4
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End7.8
red by 1.6
50.90.7
51.650.9
Auto14.9
Teleop27.8
End7.8
Second
47.70.4
48.348.7
Auto14.4
Teleop26.5
End6.6
red by 4.5
1533
#20
43.10.7
43.843.1
Auto13.1
Teleop23.2
End6.9
Third
6004
#28
30.00.4
30.631.0
Auto9.9
Teleop11.5
End8.6
blue by 1.4
4935
#17
31.40.7
32.131.4
Auto6.8
Teleop18.8
End5.8