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Red131
493531.4
205940.9
90049.5
Blue130
560738.1
153343.1
479552.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10612950150200131130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#5
49.51.2
39.841.0
Auto15.4
Teleop25.6
End8.1
blue by 2.9
52.40.8
48.749.5
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End7.8
Second
2059
#13
40.91.2
33.034.2
Auto10.8
Teleop21.1
End8.9
blue by 2.2
1533
#20
43.10.8
39.640.4
Auto13.1
Teleop23.2
End6.9
Third
4935
#17
31.41.2
29.630.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.8
End5.8
blue by 6.7
38.10.8
29.830.6
Auto11.5
Teleop18.2
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned