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Qual 152023 FIRST North Carolina District State Championship
Red137
350647.7
650235.7
456147.3
Blue108
873833.1
264250.9
776328.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132107406080120140160180200137108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#2
47.70.8
40.5→41.3
Auto14.4
Teleop26.5
End6.6
blue by 3.2
2642
#4
50.90.4
46.4→46.0
Auto14.9
Teleop27.8
End7.8
Second
4561
#3
47.30.8
45.7→46.5
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End8.4
red by 14.2
8738
#14
33.10.4
25.7→25.3
Auto9.6
Teleop17.6
End5.9
Third
6502
#10
35.70.8
34.2→34.9
Auto7.1
Teleop20.5
End8.1
red by 6.9
7763
#40
28.80.4
31.4→31.1
Auto5.9
Teleop17.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsMissed