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Red120
429039.8
900822.6
456147.3
Blue112
322926.7
551836.5
350647.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12195406080140160180120112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.3
47.648.0
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End8.4
blue by 0.4
47.71.3
41.843.2
Auto14.4
Teleop26.5
End6.6
Second
4290
#11
39.80.3
39.940.2
Auto12.6
Teleop20.1
End7.1
red by 3.4
5518
#32
36.51.3
31.632.9
Auto9.8
Teleop18.1
End8.6
Third
9008
#37
22.60.3
22.622.9
Auto9.3
Teleop7.7
End5.6
blue by 4.1
3229
#21
26.71.3
18.820.1
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned