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Qual 302023 FIRST North Carolina District State Championship
Red129
58749.2
560738.1
875723.7
Blue102
572751.2
873833.1
205940.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103118406080140160180200129102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#19
49.21.7
45.1→46.8
Auto13.9
Teleop29.2
End5.7
blue by 2.0
5727
#8
51.20.5
47.7→47.3
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End8.2
Second
5607
#6
38.11.7
32.5→34.2
Auto11.5
Teleop18.2
End8.4
blue by 2.8
2059
#13
40.90.5
34.7→34.2
Auto10.8
Teleop21.1
End8.9
Third
8757
#30
23.71.7
20.8→22.5
Auto4.4
Teleop12.0
End7.3
blue by 9.4
8738
#14
33.10.5
26.7→26.2
Auto9.6
Teleop17.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned