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Red99
875723.7
519040.9
689430.9
Blue110
456147.3
479552.4
322926.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671315010015099110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.91.8
29.831.7
Auto11.2
Teleop22.8
End6.9
blue by 11.5
52.40.6
49.448.7
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End7.8
Second
6894
#15
30.91.8
23.825.7
Auto9.2
Teleop15.1
End6.6
blue by 16.4
47.30.6
46.345.7
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End8.4
Third
8757
#30
23.71.8
17.719.5
Auto4.4
Teleop12.0
End7.3
blue by 3.0
3229
#21
26.70.6
19.118.4
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed