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Red126
789061.6
560738.1
551123.0
Blue90
925918.5
650235.7
872735.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115775010015012690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.61.5
54.055.5
Auto17.1
Teleop34.2
End9.3
red by 25.9
6502
#10
35.70.5
33.133.6
Auto7.1
Teleop20.5
End8.1
Second
38.11.5
27.829.3
Auto11.5
Teleop18.2
End8.4
red by 2.8
8727
#12
35.40.5
29.730.2
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End6.4
Third
5511
#33
23.01.5
21.723.2
Auto8.5
Teleop7.7
End6.8
red by 4.5
9259
#36
18.50.5
14.615.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsMissed