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Red100
689430.9
776328.8
767125.4
Blue107
90049.5
900033.0
744327.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91113406080100140160180100107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6894
#15
30.90.8
31.832.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.1
End6.6
blue by 18.7
900
#5
49.50.2
45.345.5
Auto15.4
Teleop25.6
End8.1
Second
7763
#40
28.80.8
32.032.8
Auto5.9
Teleop17.4
End5.4
blue by 4.2
9000
#35
33.00.2
30.730.9
Auto11.0
Teleop12.9
End9.1
Third
7671
#22
25.40.8
24.425.1
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End7.4
blue by 1.8
7443
#29
27.20.2
27.627.8
Auto8.8
Teleop12.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsMissed