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Red136
482826.9
205940.9
479552.4
Blue103
900822.6
264250.9
551123.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121016080120140160180136103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.42.2
47.850.0
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End7.8
red by 1.6
50.90.1
48.448.5
Auto14.9
Teleop27.8
End7.8
Second
2059
#13
40.92.2
36.138.3
Auto10.8
Teleop21.1
End8.9
red by 17.9
5511
#33
23.00.1
23.823.9
Auto8.5
Teleop7.7
End6.8
Third
4828
#18
26.92.2
19.721.9
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End6.0
red by 4.3
9008
#37
22.60.1
24.024.1
Auto9.3
Teleop7.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned