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Red99
600430.0
153343.1
264024.0
Blue133
650235.7
789061.6
519040.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941495020099133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#20
43.11.0
44.543.4
Auto13.1
Teleop23.2
End6.9
blue by 18.5
61.60.0
59.659.6
Auto17.1
Teleop34.2
End9.3
Second
6004
#28
30.01.0
26.725.6
Auto9.9
Teleop11.5
End8.6
blue by 10.9
40.90.0
38.938.9
Auto11.2
Teleop22.8
End6.9
Third
2640
#38
24.01.0
23.622.5
Auto8.7
Teleop10.2
End5.1
blue by 11.7
6502
#10
35.70.0
34.134.1
Auto7.1
Teleop20.5
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed48%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsEarned