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Red105
842940.2
482931.9
744327.2
Blue128
875723.7
900033.0
456147.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105111406080120140160180105128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8429
#16
40.20.3
40.840.5
Auto9.4
Teleop21.9
End8.9
blue by 7.1
47.30.3
49.049.3
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End8.4
Second
4829
#24
31.90.3
30.730.4
Auto10.0
Teleop12.9
End8.9
blue by 1.1
9000
#35
33.00.3
30.931.2
Auto11.0
Teleop12.9
End9.1
Third
7443
#29
27.20.3
27.827.5
Auto8.8
Teleop12.1
End6.4
red by 3.5
8757
#30
23.70.3
23.623.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned