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Red135
572751.2
322926.7
600430.0
Blue149
350647.7
264024.0
516028.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11094406080120140160135149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.21.9
49.751.6
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End8.2
red by 3.6
47.73.6
44.448.0
Auto14.4
Teleop26.5
End6.6
Second
6004
#28
30.01.9
28.430.4
Auto9.9
Teleop11.5
End8.6
red by 1.2
5160
#25
28.83.6
25.228.8
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End6.1
Third
3229
#21
26.71.9
23.024.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End4.5
red by 2.8
2640
#38
24.03.6
20.424.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned