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Red132
650235.7
58749.2
319624.0
Blue125
479552.4
842940.2
872735.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10414150200132125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#19
49.21.3
46.147.4
Auto13.9
Teleop29.2
End5.7
blue by 3.2
52.40.2
53.052.8
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End7.8
Second
6502
#10
35.71.3
33.634.9
Auto7.1
Teleop20.5
End8.1
blue by 4.5
8429
#16
40.20.2
40.039.8
Auto9.4
Teleop21.9
End8.9
Third
3196
#39
24.01.3
22.724.0
Auto9.0
Teleop11.8
End3.3
blue by 11.3
8727
#12
35.40.2
34.834.6
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsEarned61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed85%Activation oddsEarned