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Red160
58749.2
789061.6
322926.7
Blue115
429039.8
650235.7
872735.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401126080100120160180200220160115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.7
59.760.5
Auto17.1
Teleop34.2
End9.3
red by 21.7
4290
#11
39.80.1
39.139.2
Auto12.6
Teleop20.1
End7.1
Second
587
#19
49.20.7
47.448.1
Auto13.9
Teleop29.2
End5.7
red by 13.6
6502
#10
35.70.1
34.935.1
Auto7.1
Teleop20.5
End8.1
Third
3229
#21
26.70.7
24.925.6
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End4.5
blue by 8.6
8727
#12
35.40.1
34.634.8
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End6.4