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Match 22023 FIRST North Carolina District State Championship
Red128
153343.1
264250.9
516028.8
Blue155
205940.9
90049.5
551836.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13313050100150200250128155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#4
50.90.1
51.6→51.7
Auto14.9
Teleop27.8
End7.8
red by 1.3
900
#5
49.50.5
48.0→48.5
Auto15.4
Teleop25.6
End8.1
Second
1533
#20
43.10.1
43.9→44.0
Auto13.1
Teleop23.2
End6.9
red by 2.2
2059
#13
40.90.5
39.3→39.8
Auto10.8
Teleop21.1
End8.9
Third
5160
#25
28.80.1
28.8→28.9
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End6.1
blue by 7.7
5518
#32
36.50.5
34.9→35.4
Auto9.8
Teleop18.1
End8.6