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Red136
872735.4
650235.7
429039.8
Blue139
516028.8
264250.9
153343.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131366080100160180200220136139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4290
#11
39.80.6
39.239.8
Auto12.6
Teleop20.1
End7.1
blue by 11.0
50.90.3
51.752.0
Auto14.9
Teleop27.8
End7.8
Second
6502
#10
35.70.6
35.135.7
Auto7.1
Teleop20.5
End8.1
blue by 7.5
1533
#20
43.10.3
44.044.3
Auto13.1
Teleop23.2
End6.9
Third
8727
#12
35.40.6
34.835.4
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End6.4
red by 6.6
5160
#25
28.80.3
28.929.2
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End6.1