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Red149
900033.0
842940.2
519040.9
Blue158
689430.9
572751.2
456147.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161426080100160180200220149158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.6
40.340.9
Auto11.2
Teleop22.8
End6.9
blue by 10.3
51.20.6
51.452.0
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End8.2
Second
8429
#16
40.20.6
39.640.2
Auto9.4
Teleop21.9
End8.9
blue by 7.1
47.30.6
47.548.1
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End8.4
Third
9000
#35
33.00.6
32.433.0
Auto11.0
Teleop12.9
End9.1
red by 2.1
6894
#15
30.90.6
31.131.7
Auto9.2
Teleop15.1
End6.6