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Red164
58749.2
789061.6
322926.7
Blue147
205940.9
90049.5
551836.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401316080100120160180200220164147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.6
60.561.1
Auto17.1
Teleop34.2
End9.3
red by 12.0
900
#5
49.50.5
48.549.0
Auto15.4
Teleop25.6
End8.1
Second
587
#19
49.20.6
48.148.8
Auto13.9
Teleop29.2
End5.7
red by 8.3
2059
#13
40.90.5
39.840.4
Auto10.8
Teleop21.1
End8.9
Third
3229
#21
26.70.6
25.626.3
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End4.5
blue by 9.7
5518
#32
36.50.5
35.435.9
Auto9.8
Teleop18.1
End8.6