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Red140
479552.4
350647.7
600430.0
Blue100
482931.9
560738.1
873833.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14710450200250140100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.40.2
53.253.3
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End7.8
red by 14.3
38.10.2
38.037.8
Auto11.5
Teleop18.2
End8.4
Second
47.70.2
48.448.6
Auto14.4
Teleop26.5
End6.6
red by 14.5
8738
#14
33.10.2
33.032.8
Auto9.6
Teleop17.6
End5.9
Third
6004
#28
30.00.2
30.830.9
Auto9.9
Teleop11.5
End8.6
blue by 1.8
4829
#24
31.90.2
31.731.5
Auto10.0
Teleop12.9
End8.9