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Red150
551836.5
90049.5
205940.9
Blue158
689430.9
572751.2
456147.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13214280100120160180200220150158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#5
49.50.5
49.049.5
Auto15.4
Teleop25.6
End8.1
blue by 1.7
51.20.6
52.052.6
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End8.2
Second
2059
#13
40.90.5
40.440.9
Auto10.8
Teleop21.1
End8.9
blue by 6.4
47.30.6
48.148.7
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End8.4
Third
5518
#32
36.50.5
35.936.5
Auto9.8
Teleop18.1
End8.6
red by 5.6
6894
#15
30.90.6
31.732.3
Auto9.2
Teleop15.1
End6.6