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Red41
481615.9
265514.2
333617.9
Blue25
345912.9
767122.0
87469.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4145102030506070804125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.2
15.015.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End6.3
blue by 4.2
22.02.4
18.616.2
Auto6.1
Teleop10.1
End5.8
Second
15.90.2
11.912.1
Auto8.3
Teleop3.5
End4.1
red by 3.0
3459
#24
12.92.4
17.314.8
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End3.5
Third
2655
#23
14.20.2
12.412.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End2.6
red by 5.3
8746
#20
9.02.4
6.03.6
Auto1.4
Teleop3.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
15%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsMissed