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Red65
600422.0
873817.2
90428.7
Blue17
82054.8
925917.7
382210.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46310204060806517

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6004
#15
22.00.9
19.620.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End7.9
red by 4.4
9259
#16
17.71.6
15.013.4
Auto1.8
Teleop8.6
End7.3
Second
17.21.5
13.915.4
Auto8.2
Teleop5.7
End3.3
red by 6.6
3822
#22
10.61.6
13.812.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End3.9
Third
9042
#25
8.71.5
8.19.6
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End3.7
red by 3.9
8205
#27
4.81.6
2.20.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed11%Activation oddsMissed