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Red79
875818.2
481615.9
482921.1
Blue70
900824.6
551819.4
322916.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425302060801007970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4829
#11
21.13.7
17.120.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End8.5
blue by 3.5
24.62.1
19.321.4
Auto9.0
Teleop10.1
End5.5
Second
8758
#10
18.23.7
13.917.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End8.1
blue by 1.2
19.42.3
15.818.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End7.8
Third
15.93.7
9.413.2
Auto8.3
Teleop3.5
End4.1
blue by 1.0
3229
#12
16.92.1
13.015.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
8%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsEarned