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Red58
482810.7
516020.5
925917.7
Blue13
69086.2
382210.6
264015.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44420102030506070805813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.51.8
17.419.2
Auto6.9
Teleop8.9
End4.7
red by 5.1
2640
#13
15.42.5
17.915.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End5.3
Second
9259
#16
17.71.7
13.114.8
Auto1.8
Teleop8.6
End7.3
red by 7.1
3822
#22
10.62.5
11.48.9
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End3.9
Third
4828
#29
10.71.9
10.212.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End4.4
red by 4.5
6908
#28
6.22.7
10.07.3
Auto1.4
Teleop2.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
10%Activation oddsEarned11%Activation oddsMissed