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Red40
72706.5
900518.7
929613.3
Blue131
693219.2
350639.6
572745.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3710105015040131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9005
#18
18.70.2
12.412.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End6.9
blue by 26.7
45.42.6
36.539.2
Auto13.9
Teleop24.5
End7.1
Second
9296
#26
13.30.3
18.618.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End5.9
blue by 26.3
39.62.6
39.241.9
Auto14.2
Teleop18.5
End6.9
Third
7270
#27DQ
6.50.3
11.811.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End1.2
blue by 12.7
19.22.6
10.713.4
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed69%Activation oddsEarned