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Red31
915015.6
65129.5
803021.2
Blue64
663912.7
688822.9
429036.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487502040601001201403164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8030
#16
21.22.5
20.417.8
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End7.8
blue by 15.4
36.60.5
31.230.6
Auto12.6
Teleop17.2
End6.7
Second
9150
#13
15.61.5
13.812.3
Auto6.6
Teleop2.3
End6.7
blue by 7.3
6888
#11
22.90.5
24.223.7
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End8.4
Third
6512
#25
9.52.5
14.612.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End1.7
blue by 3.2
6639
#24
12.70.5
11.511.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsMissed