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Red43
803021.2
900518.7
929814.3
Blue88
872729.7
319625.6
350639.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions469901504388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8030
#16
21.20.7
19.218.5
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End7.8
blue by 18.4
39.60.1
39.139.3
Auto14.2
Teleop18.5
End6.9
Second
9005
#18
18.70.5
16.115.7
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End6.9
blue by 10.9
29.70.1
24.824.9
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End5.9
Third
9298
#15
14.30.5
14.514.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End3.0
blue by 11.3
25.60.1
22.122.2
Auto8.7
Teleop11.3
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed69%Activation oddsMissed