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Red102
830420.4
482929.8
572745.4
Blue50
688822.9
883315.2
567914.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9948015010250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.7
42.843.5
Auto13.9
Teleop24.5
End7.1
red by 22.5
6888
#11
22.90.1
21.221.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End8.4
Second
4829
#10
29.80.7
25.826.5
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End7.6
red by 14.6
8833
#22
15.20.1
14.013.9
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End5.3
Third
8304
#12
20.40.7
17.818.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End7.1
red by 5.8
5679
#17
14.60.1
16.316.2
Auto1.9
Teleop6.4
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsMissed