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Red76
915015.6
693219.2
872729.7
Blue106
319625.6
429036.6
153339.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56105015076106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.71.1
24.926.0
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End5.9
blue by 9.8
39.40.9
35.736.6
Auto12.4
Teleop17.0
End10.0
Second
19.21.1
19.220.4
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End7.3
blue by 17.4
36.60.9
32.933.8
Auto12.6
Teleop17.2
End6.7
Third
9150
#13
15.61.1
14.715.8
Auto6.6
Teleop2.3
End6.7
blue by 10.0
25.60.9
23.524.4
Auto8.7
Teleop11.3
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned