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Red49
663912.7
621412.0
350639.6
Blue57
900518.7
345923.1
688822.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6869505560657580854957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.61.0
39.938.9
Auto14.2
Teleop18.5
End6.9
red by 16.5
23.10.5
22.722.2
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End7.0
Second
6639
#24
12.71.0
12.711.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End3.4
blue by 10.2
6888
#11
22.90.5
23.522.9
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End8.4
Third
6214
#23
12.01.1
11.710.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End5.3
blue by 6.7
9005
#18
18.70.5
18.818.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsMissed