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Red99
551831.5
382210.8
264244.3
Blue117
929718.6
453426.7
689423.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735720408010012014099117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.31.0
32.833.9
Auto13.1
Teleop23.4
End7.8
red by 17.6
4534
#12
26.71.1
23.624.7
Auto8.6
Teleop11.5
End6.6
Second
31.51.0
22.123.1
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End9.3
red by 7.7
6894
#10
23.81.1
19.720.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End7.0
Third
3822
#20
10.81.0
11.512.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End2.6
blue by 7.8
9297
#15
18.61.1
12.613.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsMissed15%Activation oddsEarned