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Red48
69089.4
771517.8
481621.3
Blue35
919818.1
333617.2
482814.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424301001504835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4816
#13
21.30.2
17.317.5
Auto8.7
Teleop6.9
End5.8
red by 3.2
9198
#17
18.11.4
14.012.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End7.2
Second
7715
#14
17.80.2
15.515.7
Auto2.7
Teleop8.0
End7.1
red by 0.6
3336
#25
17.21.4
18.817.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End5.9
Third
6908
#31
9.40.2
7.27.4
Auto1.9
Teleop4.8
End2.7
blue by 4.9
4828
#26
14.31.4
7.66.2
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed16%Activation oddsMissed